New Mexico vs Boise State 12/3/2011

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 100% of simulations over New Mexico. Kellen Moore is averaging 376 passing yards and 5 TDs per simulation and Doug Martin is projected for 117 rushing yards and a 86% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 0% of simulations where New Mexico wins, B.R. Holbrook averages 1 TD passes vs 0.4 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.25 TDs to 0.55 interceptions. Crusoe Gongbay averages 39 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing TDs when New Mexico wins and 35 yards and 0.12 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 100% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -52 --- Over/Under line is 72

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